American Economic Journal:
Macroeconomics
ISSN 1945-7707 (Print) | ISSN 1945-7715 (Online)
Determinants of Economic Growth: Will Data Tell?
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
vol. 2,
no. 4, October 2010
(pp. 222–46)
Abstract
Many factors inhibiting and facilitating economic growth have been suggested. Can agnostics rely on international income data to tell them which matter? We find that agnostic priors lead to conclusions that are sensitive to differences across available income estimates. For example, the PWT 6.2 revision of the 1960-1996 income estimates in the PWT 6.1 leads to substantial changes regarding the role of government, international trade, demography, and geography. We conclude that margins of error in international income estimates appear too large for agnostic growth empirics. (JEL O41, O47)Citation
Ciccone, Antonio, and Marek Jarociński. 2010. "Determinants of Economic Growth: Will Data Tell?" American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2 (4): 222–46. DOI: 10.1257/mac.2.4.222Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- O41 One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
- O47 Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
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