American Economic Journal:
Macroeconomics
ISSN 1945-7707 (Print) | ISSN 1945-7715 (Online)
Innovation-Led Transitions in Energy Supply
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
vol. 16,
no. 1, January 2024
(pp. 29–65)
Abstract
Generalizing models of directed technical change, I show that complementarities between innovations and factors of production (here, energy resources) can drive transitions away from a dominant sector. In a calibrated numerical implementation, the economy gradually transitions energy supply from coal to gas and then to renewable energy, even in the absence of policy. The welfare-maximizing tax on carbon emissions is J-shaped, immediately redirects most research to renewables, and rapidly transitions energy supply directly to renewables. The emission tax is twice as valuable as either the welfare-maximizing research subsidy or the welfare-maximizing mandate to use renewable resources.Citation
Lemoine, Derek. 2024. "Innovation-Led Transitions in Energy Supply." American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 16 (1): 29–65. DOI: 10.1257/mac.20200369Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- H23 Taxation and Subsidies: Externalities; Redistributive Effects; Environmental Taxes and Subsidies
- O31 Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
- O33 Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
- Q35 Hydrocarbon Resources
- Q41 Energy: Demand and Supply; Prices
- Q54 Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
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