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American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics (Forthcoming)
Abstract
The Soviet regime forcedly sent millions of enemies of the people, i.e. the educated
elite considered a threat to the regime, to Gulag camps across the USSR. We use
this large-scale episode of terror as a natural experiment to provide evidence on the
long-run persistence of human capital across generations and its effect on economic
growth. We combine archive data from the Gulag with the 2018 Russian firm
census to show that areas around camps with a larger share of enemies among camp
prisoners are more prosperous today, as captured by firms’ wages and profits, and
night lights per capita.