Optimal Disclosure of Value Distribution Information in All Pay Auction
Abstract
In this paper, we follow a Bayesian Persuasion approach to studythe auction organizer’s optimal disclosure of information about players’ value
distribution in a two-player all-pay auction setting. Players’ private values
(either high vh or low vl) are independently and identically distributed. There
are two possible value distributions (i.e., two possible states), and none of the
players knows the actual distribution. Before the auction starts, the organizer
pre-commits to a public signal to reveal information about the prevailing
value distribution. We find that there exists a cutoff for value ratio v = v_h/v_l,
above which a monotone equilibrium arises under any prior belief about the
state. In this circumstance, no disclosure is optimal. When value ratio v is
below the cutoff, there exist exactly two threshold beliefs about the state that
separate prior beliefs generating monotone and non-monotone equilibria. A prior belief would lead to a non-monotone equilibrium if and only if it lies in between. If the original prior leads to a monotone equilibrium, then still no disclosure is optimal; otherwise, a partial disclosure, which generates a posterior distribution over the two threshold beliefs, is optimal.