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Addressing Open Questions in the School Spending Literature: Existing Evidence, Capital Expenditures, and Positive Externalities

Paper Session

Saturday, Jan. 8, 2022 10:00 AM - 12:00 PM (EST)

Hosted By: American Economic Association
  • Chair: Joshua Hyman, Amherst College

The Distribution of School Spending Impacts

C. Kirabo Jackson
,
Northwestern University
Claire Mackevicius
,
Northwestern University

Abstract

We use estimates across all known “credibly causal” studies to examine the distributions of the causal effects of public K12 school spending on test scores and educational attainment in the United States. Under reasonable assumptions, for each of the 31 included studies, we compute the same parameter estimate. Method of moments estimates indicate that, on average, a $1000 increase in per-pupil public school spending (for four years) increases test scores by 0.044, high-school graduation by 2.1 percentage points, and college-going by 3.9 percentage points. The pooled averages are significant at the 0.0001 level. When benchmarked against other interventions, test score impacts are much smaller than those on educational attainment—suggesting that test-score impacts understate the value of school spending. The benefits to marginal capital spending increases take about five-to-six years to materialize, but after this, are similar to those of non-capital spending increases. The marginal spending impacts are much less pronounced for economically advantaged populations. Consistent with a cumulative effect, the educational attainment impacts are larger with more years of exposure to the spending increase. Average impacts are similar across a wide range of baseline spending levels—providing little evidence of diminishing marginal returns at current spending levels. To speak to generalizability, we estimate the variability across studies attributable to effect heterogeneity (as opposed to sampling variability). This heterogeneity explains about 40 and 70 percent of the variation across studies for educational attainment and test scores, respectively, which allows us to provide a range of likely policy impacts. A policy that increases per-pupil spending for four years will improve test scores 92 percent of the time, and educational attainment even more often. We find suggestive evidence consistent with small possible publication bias, but demonstrate that any effects on our estimates are minimal.

More School Funding, Less Crime?

Jason Baron
,
University of Michigan and Duke University
Joshua Hyman
,
Amherst College
Brittany Vasquez
,
University of Michigan

Abstract

Crime is a negative externality with enormous social costs. The United States has the highest incarceration rate of any OECD country. Consequently, total expenditures on corrections currently exceed $82 billion annually, with direct expenditures on the wider justice system totaling over $250 billion. Concerns over these figures have attracted a large literature aiming to identify effective crime prevention strategies. In this paper, we ask whether it is possible to reduce crime rates by increasing public school funding, and, if so, whether this strategy is cost effective with respect to other crime prevention measures. Despite its enormous policy implications, surprisingly little is known about the relationship between public school funding and criminal activity. Economists interested in the benefits of school funding have traditionally focused on the private return to education (e.g., one's own test scores, educational attainment, and wages). However, if additional school funding also reduces crime, then the social return to school funding may exceed the private return. Thus, beyond its relevance for crime prevention, estimating the effect of additional school funding on criminal activity may also shed some light on the broader social returns of school funding---and consequently on its optimal level. Our empirical strategy examines whether public school children exposed to more funding during early grades are less likely to engage in criminal activity later in life. Specifically, we exploit plausibly exogenous variation in operational school funding driven by Michigan's 1994 school finance reform, Proposal A, as well as a novel source of administrative records which link statewide data on the universe of individual public school records, child welfare records, juvenile incarceration records, and adult arrests. To compare the effectiveness of distinct types of school funding for crime prevention, we additionally estimate the effect of capital expenditures on criminal activity by leveraging close capital bond referenda.

The Impact of School Spending on Civic Engagement: Evidence from School Finance Reforms

Erdal Asker
,
University of Connecticut
Eric Brunner
,
University of Connecticut
Stephen Ross
,
University of Connecticut

Abstract

One of the primary rationales for the public provision of K-12 education and the large role played by state governments in financing K-12 education is that education fosters not only the development of human capital but also enhances social capital and civic engagement. However, despite the importance of such positive externalities in justifying the large K-12 educational investments made by state and local governments, very little evidence exists on whether and how K-12 school spending affects civic engagement. We provide some of the first causal evidence on how exogenous increases in K-12 school spending impact civic engagement. The court-ordered and legislative school finance reforms that occurred throughout the United States over the last several decades led to large and plausibly exogenous shocks to K-12 school spending. We leverage the timing and location of these school finance reforms to estimate event study and difference-in-differences models designed to isolate the causal impact of K-12 school spending on civic engagement. Our analysis is based on school district-level data from 1986 – present on K-12 school spending from the National Center for Education Statistics along with data on measures of civic engagement (e.g. voting behavior, volunteering, etc.) from multiple waves of the National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988 (NELS), the Education Longitudinal Study of 2002 (ELS) and the High School Longitudinal Study of 2009 (HSLS).

School Capital Expenditure Rules, Student Outcomes, and Real Estate Capitalization

Barbara Biasi
,
Yale University
Julien Lafortune
,
Public Policy Institute of California
David Schönholzer
,
Stockholm University

Abstract

School capital expenditures comprise a major component of public spending in the US, but there is substantial disagreement among economists and policymakers over the efficacy and efficiency of these investments. This paper exploits within-district variation in capital spending due to local bond elections to estimate the effects of school capital expenditures on student outcomes and the real estate market. While most of the existing evidence relies on case studies from individual districts or states, we provide the first nation-wide study of these effects, using data from more than 10,000 school districts across forty states. To this end, we assembled a new database containing a) the mechanisms governing capital funding in each state, b) school district bond election results, and c) student scores on state tests for a 15+ year national panel of school districts, compiled from several public data sources and standardized across states and years. We rely on a regression discontinuity approach across close bond elections to identify the causal effect of capital expenditures on student outcomes and real estate capitalization. We then exploit cross-state differences in fiscal rules such as tax limits and supermajority requirements for school bonds, allowing us to characterize both the mean effects across states and the distribution of effects across fiscal regimes, which speaks to whether fiscal constraints are too restrictive or too loose. Finally, we document the correlation of student achievement effects and house price effects across settings to estimate the share of valuation due to student achievement as opposed to local amenities.

Discussant(s)
Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach
,
Northwestern University
Elizabeth U. Cascio
,
Dartmouth College
Kevin Stange
,
University of Michigan
C. Kirabo Jackson
,
Northwestern University
JEL Classifications
  • H7 - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations
  • I2 - Education and Research Institutions