Older Workers and Retirement: Part 2
Paper Session
Saturday, Jan. 8, 2022 3:45 PM - 5:45 PM (EST)
- Chair: Teresa Ghilarducci, New School for Social Research
Are Older Workers Capable of Delaying Retirement?
Abstract
Disability-free life expectancy had been rising continuously in the United States until 2010, suggesting working longer as a solution for those financially unprepared for retirement. Reforms such as the increase in the Social Security Full Retirement Age have been predicated on the potential of extended working lives to keep retirees whole. However, recent developments suggest that growth in working life expectancy has stalled, especially for minorities and those with less education. This paper uses data from the National Vital Statistics System, the America Community Survey, and the National Health Interview Survey to assess how recent trends in institutionalization, physical impediments to work, and mortality have affected working life expectancy for men and women age 50 today, by race and education. Preliminary results suggest that working life expectancy has continued to modestly increase for high-education individuals of all races and for low-education Black women. However, no progress has been observed for low-education whites of all genders and Black men. As a result, large shares of those still working at age 62 will be incapable of working even two more years, particularly Black men and those with below-median education.How Job Displacement Affects Work and Social Security Claiming at Older Ages
Abstract
This study examines the evidence on the post-displacement employment, and earnings experiences of displaced older workers with various characteristics in order to measure how the incidence and cost of displacement have changed over time. Using data from the Current Population Survey's Displaced Worker Supplements I present new estimates of how job loss affects earnings, reemployment probabilities and the decision to leave the labor force for workers displaced close to retirement age. I find that displaced older workers face worse employment prospects than displaced primed-age workers and displaced older workers who do find a job typically experience larger wage losses. Moreover preliminary results indicate that displaced older workers are 40 percent more likely to claim social security benefits before the Full Retirement Age compared to their counterparts that have not experienced job loss.Discussant(s)
Perihan Saygin
,
University of Florida
Siavash Radpour
,
New School for Social Research
Richard W. Johnson
,
Urban Institute
JEL Classifications
- J2 - Demand and Supply of Labor
- J6 - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers