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Asset Pricing: Market Microstructure

Paper Session

Friday, Jan. 6, 2023 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM (CST)

Sheraton New Orleans, Napoleon A
Hosted By: American Finance Association
  • Chair: Viktor Todorov, Northwestern University

Siphoned Apart: A Portfolio Perspective on Order Flow Fragmentation

Markus Baldauf
,
University of British Columbia
Joshua Mollner
,
Northwestern University
Bart Yueshen
,
INSEAD

Abstract

We study liquidity provision in fragmented markets. Market makers intermediate heterogeneous order flows, trading off expected spread revenue and inventory costs. Portfolio considerations to diversify inventory risk reveal that market makers have an incentive to siphon certain orders, thus endogenously fueling fragmentation. As an application, we study payment for order flow (PFOF), its implications, and regulatory responses. Notably, a PFOF ban always hurts welfare, can make trading more costly for all investors, and can resolve a prisoner’s dilemma affecting market makers. These results differentiate our inventory-based model from the existing information-based theories of PFOF.

Option Auctions

Terrence Hendershott
,
University of California-Berkeley
Saad Khan
,
HEC Montréal
Ryan Riordan
,
Queen's University

Abstract

All option trades must occur on exchanges, many of which offer auctions that improve prices over existing quotes. Brokers initiating auctions must be willing to trade at the existing best quote or better. For S&P500 stocks these auctions make up 23% of options volume and offer substantial price improvement of 50% of the quoted half-spread. Consistent with less informed orders being cream-skimmed, auctions have lower price impact and occur more when spreads are wider, volatility is higher, and arbitrage is more likely. While auction price improvement is large, auctions do not appear fully competitive, possibly because brokers have better knowledge of clients' informational advantages.

Discrete Price, Discrete Quantity, and the Optimal Price of a Stock

Sida Li
,
University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign
Mao Ye
,
University of Illinois and NBER

Abstract

Economists commonly assume that price and quantity are continuous variables, while in reality both are discrete. As U.S. regulations mandate a one-cent minimum tick size and a 100-share minimum lot size, we predict that less volatile and more active stocks will choose higher prices to make pricing more continuous and quantity more discrete. Despite heterogeneous optimal prices, all firms achieve their optimal prices when their bid–ask spreads equal two ticks, i.e. when frictions from discrete pricing equal those from discrete lots. Empirically, our theoretical model explains 57% of cross-sectional variations in stock prices and 81% of cross-sectional variations in bid–ask spreads. The adjustment toward optimal prices rationalizes 91% of stock splits and contributes 94 bps to split announcement returns. The median U.S. stock value would increase by 106 bps and the total U.S. market capitalization would increase by $93.7 billion if all firms chose their optimal price.

Market Microstructure Invariance: A Meta-Model Approach

Albert Kyle
,
University of Maryland
Anna Obizhaeva
,
New Economic School

Abstract

Theoretical predictions about liquidity are usually hard to test empirically because they
are expressed in terms of hard-to-observe quantities. We bridge the gap between theory and
practice by building a meta-model which is comprised of several simple generic equations,
likely to be shared bymost models. This yields many testable quantitative predictions in the
formof scaling laws; they are expressed in terms of the easily measurable liquidity metrics,
which are proportional to the cube root of the ratio of dollar volume to returns variance.
These predictions are consistent with existing theoretical models, if time in these models is
interpreted not as a calendar time but rather as a security-specific business time to match
volume and volatility. When mapped into theoretical models, adverse selection shows up in
pricing accuracy and resiliency. Our approach thus highlights a deep connection between
concepts of adverse selection, liquidity, and time.

Discussant(s)
Christine Parlour
,
University of California-Berkeley
Neil Pearson
,
University of Illinois-Urbana-Champaign
Torben Andersen
,
Northwestern University
Ciamac Moallemi
,
Columbia University
JEL Classifications
  • G1 - Asset Markets and Pricing