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Post-Keynesian Finance

Paper Session

Friday, Jan. 5, 2024 10:15 AM - 12:15 PM (CST)

Marriott Riverwalk, Alamo Ballroom Salon B
Hosted By: Union for Radical Political Economics
  • Chair: Daniel Ossa, University of Denver

The Financial Foundations of Production and Uncertainty

Andres F. Cantillo
,
Kansas City Kansas Community College

Abstract

Rejecting much of mainstream economic theory for being too passive, this book argues that the innovative and unpredictable nature of economic phenomena is better understood with analytical devices which allow for more creative and participatory analysis. As is demonstrated, this has significant implications for our understanding of production, money, and finance.
The book introduces the concept of ‘production commitments’: the expectation of a producer that others in the chain will produce their corresponding output. This expectation forms the basis of all specialized production in the economy. And being at the center of the process of specialization, production commitments are the most basic form of finance. Unless they are purely re-distributive, money and monetary financial assets are valuable to the production process as long as they represent outstanding production commitments. It is also demonstrated that this new way of looking at finance is better grasped with an input-output framework than with the traditional probabilistic two factors general equilibrium approach. By combining the Sraffa-Pasinetti approach to ‘expectation’ with G.L.S. Shackle’s ‘potential surprise function’ the book posits an alternative to the standard Modern Portfolio Theory view of finance. Understanding production commitments through the Sraffa-Pasinetti framework also allows for an assessment of the compatibility between outstanding financial assets and a given or expected structure of production.
This book will be of great interest to readers of post-Keynesian economics and other alternative approaches to economic theory, production and financial economics.

Financial Profitability in Developed Economies

Daniel Ossa
,
University of Denver

Abstract

Financialization has been associated with a higher rate of return for financial corporations (FCB). However, recent works on the rate of profit of FCB in the USA show that the rate of return of this sector was not sustainably higher compared to the profitability of nonfinancial corporations (NFCB) during the financialization period. In fact, the ROE of FCB was located around the same level and continuously crossed each other with the ROE of NFCB, suggesting the possibility of profit rate equalization between these two broad sectors. This paper extends the literature on the profit rate of FCB by measuring and analyzing the profit rate of FCB and NFCB in selected OECD countries. Then, it compares these profit rates with the NFCB of their respective countries. This empirical exercise explores the possibility of profit rate equalization between the financial and nonfinancial sectors within nations and among them.

Financial Fragility as an Essential Feature of Capitalist Economy

Hyun Woong Park
,
Denison University

Abstract

This paper demonstrates that banks create liquidity by adopting a fragile capital structure, which makes them prone to runs. For this, I extend the Contested Exchange framework of Bowles and Gintis (1990) to incorporate, following Diamond and Rajan (2001), limited commitment as the central friction in the economy. More specifically, when the industrial capitalists’ specialty in implementing investment projects and the financial capitalists’ specialty in dealing with money are not enforceable in contract, loans made to the industrial capitalists are illiquid. It implies that depending on the financial capitalist’ unexpected liquidity needs, the loan can be liquidated before it matures, thereby destroying the investment project. I show that this loan illiquidity problem can be resolved if the financial capitalist becomes a banker and issues demand deposits but not any other long-term debts or equity. Demand deposits make the bank subject to runs, which therefore is a device of endogenous enforcement that enables the bank to commit to employ its debt collection skills for the benefit of depositors; otherwise the depositors will run on the bank, which will eliminate the bank’s revenues. In this way, the bank’s fragile capital structure allows it to create liquidity out of illiquid assets as collateral. It follows that in a capitalist economy financial fragility is essential for liquidity creation.

Rethinking Herd Behavior in Financial Markets with Keynes

Hyuna Kim
,
University of Missouri-Kansas City

Abstract

While herd behavior has been identified as a psychological element in behavioral finance, this paper proposes
a more radical understanding of the concept. We argue that herd behavior can be connected to the strategies
of speculation and the creation of an unremitting level of leverage as a response. This consideration echoes
ideas discussed by Keynes in The General Theory ([1936] 2018), which describe how investors adopt conventions
to mitigate fundamental uncertainty surrounding their investment decisions. The paper demonstrates why
certain investors have been able to engage in the strategies of speculation and, as a result, take on more leverage,
while others have been constrained to follow the herd. This different positioning between investors tends to
be increasingly relevant as financial markets develop and become a central aspect of contemporary capitalism.
By interpreting herd behavior using Keynes’s insights into the strategies of speculation, the paper presents
implications for examining the new mode of functioning of financial markets.
JEL Classifications
  • G0 - General
  • B5 - Current Heterodox Approaches