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Optimal Collateralized Contracts

By Dan Cao and Roger Lagunoff

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, November 2020

We examine the role of collateral in a dynamic model of optimal credit contracts in which a borrower values both housing and nonhousing consumption. The borrower's private information about his income is the only friction. An optimal contract is collatera...

Hybrid All-Pay and Winner-Pay Contests

By Johan N. M. Lagerlöf

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, November 2020

In many contests in economic and political life, both all-pay and winner-pay expenditures matter for winning. This paper studies such hybrid contests under symmetry and asymmetry. The symmetric model assumes very little structure but yields a simple close...

Designing Dynamic Research Contests

By Jean-Michel Benkert and Igor Letina

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, November 2020

This paper studies the optimal design of dynamic research contests. We introduce interim transfers, which are paid in every period while the contest is ongoing, to an otherwise standard setting. We show that a contest where (i) the principal can stop the ...

Using Models to Persuade

By Joshua Schwartzstein and Adi Sunderam

American Economic Review, January 2021

We present a framework where "model persuaders" influence receivers' beliefs by proposing models that organize past data to make predictions. Receivers are assumed to find models more compelling when they better explain the data, fixing receivers' prior b...

Full Implementation under Ambiguity

By Huiyi Guo and Nicholas C. Yannelis

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2021

This paper introduces the maxmin expected utility framework into the problem of fully implementing a social choice set as ambiguous equilibria. Our model incorporates the Bayesian framework and the Wald-type maxmin preferences as special cases and provide...

Dynamic Persuasion with Outside Information

By Jacopo Bizzotto, Jesper Rüdiger, and Adrien Vigier

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2021

A principal seeks to persuade an agent to accept an offer of uncertain value before a deadline expires. The principal can generate information, but exerts no control over exogenous outside information. The combined effect of the deadline and outside infor...

Rank Uncertainty in Organizations

By Marina Halac, Elliot Lipnowski, and Daniel Rappoport

American Economic Review, March 2021

A principal incentivizes a team of agents to work by privately offering them bonuses contingent on team success. We study the principal's optimal incentive scheme that implements work as a unique equilibrium. This scheme leverages rank uncertainty to addr...

Prediction Markets

[Symposium: Event Markets]

By Justin Wolfers and Eric Zitzewitz

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2004

We analyze the extent to which simple markets can be used to aggregate disperse information into efficient forecasts of uncertain future events. Drawing together data from a range of prediction contexts, we show that market-generated forecasts are typical...