American Economic Journal:
Microeconomics
ISSN 1945-7669 (Print) | ISSN 1945-7685 (Online)
Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation
American Economic Journal: Microeconomics
vol. 13,
no. 4, November 2021
(pp. 548–86)
Abstract
We study how voter turnout affects the aggregation of preferences in elections. Under voluntary voting, election outcomes disproportionately aggregate the preferences of voters with low voting cost and high preference intensity. We show identification of the correlation structure among preferences, costs, and perceptions of voting efficacy, and explore how the correlation affects preference aggregation. Using 2004 US presidential election data, we find that young, low-income, less-educated, and minority voters are underrepresented. All of these groups tend to prefer Democrats, except for the less educated. Democrats would have won the majority of the electoral votes if all eligible voters had turned out.Citation
Kawai, Kei, Yuta Toyama, and Yasutora Watanabe. 2021. "Voter Turnout and Preference Aggregation." American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, 13 (4): 548–86. DOI: 10.1257/mic.20190063Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- D12 Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
- D72 Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
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