AEA Papers and Proceedings
ISSN 2574-0768 (Print) | ISSN 2574-0776 (Online)
Sectoral Effects of Social Distancing
AEA Papers and Proceedings
vol. 111,
May 2021
(pp. 277–81)
Abstract
The outbreak of the COVID-19 virus has led many states to take the drastic measures of social distancing. Using US executive order, occupation, and survey data, we measure the fall in labor supply due to these measures. Starting from a model of production networks, we analyze the sectoral effects of these labor shocks for the United States. We find that nonlinearities in the production network account for around half of the drop in GDP associated to the implementation of social distancing measures. The model also generates realistic dispersion in sectoral output change.Citation
Barrot, Jean-Noël, Basile Grassi, and Julien Sauvagnat. 2021. "Sectoral Effects of Social Distancing." AEA Papers and Proceedings, 111: 277–81. DOI: 10.1257/pandp.20211108Additional Materials
JEL Classification
- I12 Health Behavior
- I18 Health: Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
- L51 Economics of Regulation
- L16 Industrial Organization and Macroeconomics: Industrial Structure and Structural Change; Industrial Price Indices
- E23 Macroeconomics: Production