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Macroeconomic Implications of COVID-19: Can Negative Supply Shocks Cause Demand Shortages?

By Veronica Guerrieri, Guido Lorenzoni, Ludwig Straub, and Iván Werning

American Economic Review, May 2022

Motivated by the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, we present a theory of Keynesian supply shocks: shocks that reduce potential output in a sector of the economy, but that, by reducing demand in other sectors, ultimately push aggregate activity below pote...