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Falsifiability

By Wojciech Olszewski and Alvaro Sandroni

American Economic Review, April 2011

We examine Popper's falsifiability within an economic model in which a tester hires a potential expert to produce a theory. Payments are contingent on the performance of the theory vis-à-vis data. We show that if experts are strategic, falsifiabili...

Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility

By Petra E. Todd and Kenneth I. Wolpin

American Economic Review, December 2006

This paper uses data from a randomized social experiment in Mexico to estimate and validate a dynamic behavioral model of parental decisions about fertility and child schooling, to evaluate the effects of the PROGRESA school subsidy program, and to per...

Agriculture in the Global Economy

[Symposium: Agriculture]

By Julian M. Alston and Philip G. Pardey

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2014

The past 50-100 years have witnessed dramatic changes in agricultural production and productivity, driven to a great extent by public and private investments in agricultural research, with profound implications especially for the world's poor. In this a...

The SO2 Allowance Trading System: The Ironic History of a Grand Policy Experiment

[Symposium: Trading Pollution Permits]

By Richard Schmalensee and Robert N. Stavins

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2013

Two decades have passed since the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 launched a grand experiment in market-based environmental policy: the SO2 cap-and-trade system. That system performed well but created four striking ironies: First, by creating ...

Towards a Political Theory of the Firm

[Symposium: The Modern Corporation]

By Luigi Zingales

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2017

The revenues of large companies often rival those of national governments, and some companies have annual revenues higher than many national governments. Among the largest corporations in 2015, some had private security forces that rivaled the best secret...

An Essay on Fiscal Federalism

By Wallace E. Oates

Journal of Economic Literature, September 1999

This paper is a selective survey of fiscal federalism. It begins with a brief review and some reflections on the traditional theory of fiscal federalism: the assignment of functions to levels of government, the welfare gains from fiscal decentralization, ...