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Exchange Rate Predictability

By Barbara Rossi

Journal of Economic Literature, December 2013

The main goal of this article is to provide an answer to the question: does anything forecast exchange rates, and if so, which variables? It is well known that exchange rate fluctuations are very difficult to predict using economic models, and that a r...

Impatience and Uncertainty: Experimental Decisions Predict Adolescents' Field Behavior

By Matthias Sutter, Martin G. Kocher, Daniela Glätzle-Rützler, and Stefan T. Trautmann

American Economic Review, February 2013

We study risk attitudes, ambiguity attitudes, and time preferences of 661 children and adolescents, aged ten to eighteen years, in an incentivized experiment and relate experimental choices to field behavior. Experimental measures of impatience are found ...

Machiavellian Privatization

By Bruno Biais and Enrico Perotti

American Economic Review, March 2002

We analyze politically motivated privatization in a bipartisan environment. When median-class voters a priori favor redistributive policies, a strategic privatization program allocating them enough shares can induce a voting shift away from left-wing part...