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Economic Shocks and Crime: Evidence from the Brazilian Trade Liberalization

By Rafael Dix-Carneiro, Rodrigo R. Soares, and Gabriel Ulyssea

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, October 2018

This paper studies the effect of changes in economic conditions on crime. We exploit the 1990s trade liberalization in Brazil as a natural experiment generating exogenous shocks to local economies. We document that regions exposed to larger tariff reducti...