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Team-Specific Capital and Innovation

By Xavier Jaravel, Neviana Petkova, and Alex Bell

American Economic Review, April 2018

We establish the importance of team-specific capital in the typical inventor's career. Using administrative tax and patent data for the population of US patent inventors from 1996 to 2012, we find that an inventor's premature death causes a large and long...

Allocating Scarce Organs: How a Change in Supply Affects Transplant Waiting Lists and Transplant Recipients

By Stacy Dickert-Conlin, Todd Elder, and Keith Teltser

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, October 2019

Vast organ shortages motivated recent efforts to increase the supply of transplantable organs, but we know little about the demand side of the market. We test the implications of a model of organ demand using the universe of US transplant data from 1987 t...

Does Household Electrification Supercharge Economic Development?

[Symposium: Electricity in Developing Countries]

By Kenneth Lee, Edward Miguel, and Catherine Wolfram

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2020

In recent years, electrification has reemerged as a key priority in low-income countries, with a particular focus on electrifying households. Yet the microeconomic literature examining the impacts of electrifying households on economic development has p...

Universal Basic Incomes versus Targeted Transfers: Anti-Poverty Programs in Developing Countries

[Symposium: Development and State Capacity]

By Rema Hanna and Benjamin A. Olken

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2018

Of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals articulated by the United Nations, number one is the elimination of extreme poverty by 2030. While future economic growth should continue to reduce poverty, it will not solve the problem by itself; thus, there is ...

Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Milton Friedman's Presidential Address

[Symposium: Friedman's Natural Rate Hypothesis after 50 Years]

By Robert E. Hall and Thomas J. Sargent

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2018

The centerpiece of Milton Friedman's (1968) presidential address to the American Economic Association, delivered in Washington, DC, on December 29, 1967, was the striking proposition that monetary policy has no longer-run effects on the real economy. Fr...

Making Moves Matter: Experimental Evidence on Incentivizing Bureaucrats through Performance-Based Postings

By Adnan Q. Khan, Asim Ijaz Khwaja, and Benjamin A. Olken

American Economic Review, January 2019

Bureaucracies often post staff to better or worse locations, ostensibly to provide incentives. Yet we know little about whether this works, with heterogeneity in preferences over postings impacting effectiveness. We propose a performance-ranked serial dic...

Household Matters: Revisiting the Returns to Capital among Female Microentrepreneurs

By Arielle Bernhardt, Erica Field, Rohini Pande, and Natalia Rigol

American Economic Review: Insights, September 2019

Multiple field experiments report positive financial returns to capital shocks for male and not female microentrepreneurs. But these analyses overlook the fact that female entrepreneurs often reside with male entrepreneurs. Using data from experiments in ...

Vulnerable Growth

By Tobias Adrian, Nina Boyarchenko, and Domenico Giannone

American Economic Review, April 2019

We study the conditional distribution of GDP growth as a function of economic and financial conditions. Deteriorating financial conditions are associated with an increase in the conditional volatility and a decline in the conditional mean of GDP growth, l...

Optimal Income Taxation with Unemployment and Wage Responses: A Sufficient Statistics Approach

By Kory Kroft, Kavan Kucko, Etienne Lehmann, and Johannes Schmieder

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, February 2020

We derive a sufficient statistics tax formula in a model that incorporates unemployment and endogenous wages to study the shape of the optimal income tax. Key sufficient statistics are the macro employment response to taxation, the micro and macro partici...

Text as Data

By Matthew Gentzkow, Bryan Kelly, and Matt Taddy

Journal of Economic Literature, September 2019

An ever-increasing share of human interaction, communication, and culture is recorded as digital text. We provide an introduction to the use of text as an input to economic research. We discuss the features that make text different from other forms of dat...

The Dynamics of Motivated Beliefs

By Florian Zimmermann

American Economic Review, February 2020

A key question in the literature on motivated reasoning and self-deception is how motivated beliefs are sustained in the presence of feedback. In this paper, we explore dynamic motivated belief patterns after feedback. We establish that positive feedback ...