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The Rising Instability of U.S. Earnings

[Symposium: Household Risks]

By Peter Gottschalk and Robert Moffitt

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2009

The inequality of earnings and of family incomes in the United States has increased since the late 1970s. The large rise in earnings inequality between the 1970s and the 1990s could reflect either a rise in disparity of permanent incomes, a rise in earnin...

Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks

By Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, and Martin Uribe

American Economic Review, October 2011

We show how changes in the volatility of the real interest rate at which small open emerging economies borrow have an important effect on variables like output, consumption, investment, and hours. We start by documenting the strong evidence of time-varyin...