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Risk Matters: The Real Effects of Volatility Shocks

By Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, Pablo Guerrón-Quintana, Juan F. Rubio-Ramírez, and Martin Uribe

American Economic Review, October 2011

We show how changes in the volatility of the real interest rate at which small open emerging economies borrow have an important effect on variables like output, consumption, investment, and hours. We start by documenting the strong evidence of time-varyin...