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Takeovers: Their Causes and Consequences

[Symposium: Takeovers]

By Michael C. Jensen

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 1988

Economists have accumulated considerable evidence and knowledge on the effects of the takeover market. Here, I focus on current aspects of the controversy. My assessment is that the market for corporate control is creating large benefits for shareholders ...

Welfare Cost of Business Cycles with Idiosyncratic Consumption Risk and a Preference for Robustness

By Martin Ellison and Thomas J. Sargent

American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, April 2015

The welfare cost of random consumption fluctuations is known from De Santis (2007) to be increasing in the level of uninsured idiosyncratic consumption risk. It is known from Barillas, Hansen, and Sargent (2009) to increase if agents care about robustness...

Do Child Tax Benefits Affect the Well-Being of Children? Evidence from Canadian Child Benefit Expansions

By Kevin Milligan and Mark Stabile

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, August 2011

We exploit changes in child benefits in Canada to study the impact of family income on child and family well-being. Using variation in child benefits across province, time, and family type, we study outcomes spanning test scores, mental health, physical h...

Understanding Bubbly Episodes

By Vasco M. Carvalho, Alberto Martin, and Jaume Ventura

American Economic Review, May 2012

Over the last two decades US aggregate wealth has fluctuated substantially. Against the backdrop of the Great Recession, the effects of these boom-and-bust cycles have come to dominate academic and policy discussions. How can we explain these fluctuations...

Economic Forecasting

By Graham Elliott and Allan Timmermann

Journal of Economic Literature, March 2008

Forecasts guide decisions in all areas of economics and finance and their value can only be understood in relation to, and in the context of, such decisions. We discuss the central role of the loss function in helping determine the forecaster's objectiv...

Should America Save for Its Old Age? Fiscal Policy, Population Aging, and National Saving

[Symposium: Fiscal Policy]

By Douglas W. Elmendorf and Louise M. Sheiner

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2000

We examine whether the aging of the U.S. population adds force to traditional arguments for boosting national saving and conclude--perhaps surprisingly--that it may not. Aging boosts the demands on future resources, but it also changes the rate of return ...

Partisan Grading

By Talia Bar and Asaf Zussman

American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, January 2012

We study grading outcomes associated with professors in an elite university in the United States who were identified—using voter registration records from the county where the university is located—as either Republicans or Democrats. The evide...