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Declining Discount Rates

By Maureen L. Cropper, Mark C. Freeman, Ben Groom, and William A. Pizer

American Economic Review, May 2014

We ask whether the US government should replace its current discounting practices with a declining discount rate schedule, as the United Kingdom and France have done, or continue to discount the future at a constant exponential rate. We present the theore...

Review Essay on British Economic Growth, 1270-1870 by Stephen Broadberry, Bruce M. S. Campbell, Alexander Klein, Mark Overton, and Bas van Leeuwen

By Jeffrey G. Williamson

Journal of Economic Literature, June 2016

British Economic Growth, 1270-1870 makes a big leap forward in our understanding of the long-run performance of what became the leading nineteenth-century economy and the workshop of the world. It does so by implementing a giant quantitative ente...

The Use of Structural Models in Econometrics

[Symposium: Recent Ideas in Econometrics]

By Hamish Low and Costas Meghir

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 2017

This paper discusses the role of structural economic models in empirical analysis and policy design. The central payoff of a structural econometric model is that it allows an empirical researcher to go beyond the conclusions of a more conventional empiric...

Prediction Policy Problems

By Jon Kleinberg, Jens Ludwig, Sendhil Mullainathan, and Ziad Obermeyer

American Economic Review, May 2015

Most empirical policy work focuses on causal inference. We argue an important class of policy problems does not require causal inference but instead requires predictive inference. Solving these "prediction policy problems" requires more than simple regres...

Wage Inequality and Firm Growth

By Holger M. Mueller, Paige P. Ouimet, and Elena Simintzi

American Economic Review, May 2017

We discuss firm-level evidence based on UK data showing that within-firm pay inequality--wage differentials between top- and bottom-level jobs--increases with firm size. Moreover, within-firm pay inequality rises as firms grow larger over time. Lastly, us...

Confidence-Enhanced Performance

By Olivier Compte and Andrew Postlewaite

American Economic Review, December 2004

There is ample evidence that emotions affect performance. Positive emotions can improve performance, while negative ones can diminish it. For example, the fears induced by the possibility of failure or of negative evaluations have physiological consequenc...