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Estimating Sovereign Default Risk

By Huixin Bi and Nora Traum

American Economic Review, May 2012

This paper uses Bayesian methods to estimate the sovereign default probability for Greece and Italy in the post-EMU period. We build a real business cycle model that allows for interactions among fiscal policy instruments, sovereign default risk, and a "f...

Strategy-Proofness versus Efficiency in Matching with Indifferences: Redesigning the NYC High School Match

By Atila Abdulkadiroğlu, Parag A. Pathak, and Alvin E. Roth

American Economic Review, December 2009

The design of the New York City (NYC) high school match involved trade-offs among efficiency, stability, and strategy-proofness that raise new theoretical questions. We analyze a model with indifferences -- ties -- in school preferences. Simulations wi...

The Hidden Advantage of Delegation: Pareto Improvements in a Gift Exchange Game

By Gary Charness, Ramón Cobo-Reyes, Natalia Jiménez, Juan A. Lacomba, and Francisco Lagos

American Economic Review, August 2012

This paper analyzes the effect on performance and earnings of delegating the wage choice to employees. Our results show that such delegation significantly increases effort levels. Moreover, we observe a Pareto improvement, as the earnings of both employer...

Behavioral Contract Theory

By Botond Koszegi

Journal of Economic Literature, December 2014

This review provides a critical survey of psychology-and-economics ("behavioral-economics") research in contract theory. First, I introduce the theories of individual decision making most frequently used in behavioral contract theory, and formally illustr...

What Do Emissions Markets Deliver and to Whom? Evidence from Southern California's NOx Trading Program

By Meredith Fowlie, Stephen P. Holland, and Erin T. Mansur

American Economic Review, April 2012

An advantage of cap-and-trade programs over more prescriptive environmental regulation is that compliance flexibility and cost effectiveness can make more stringent emissions reductions politically feasible. However, when markets (versus regulators) deter...

Inflation and Unemployment in the Long Run

By Aleksander Berentsen, Guido Menzio, and Randall Wright

American Economic Review, February 2011

We study the long-run relation between money (inflation or interest rates) and unemployment. We document positive relationships between these variables at low frequencies. We develop a framework where money and unemployment are modeled using explicit micr...