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Overconfidence and Diversification

By Yuval Heller

American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, February 2014

Experimental evidence suggests that people tend to be overconfident in the sense that they overestimate the accuracy of their private information. In this paper, we show that risk-averse principals might prefer overconfident agents in various strategic i...

Credo of a Lucky Textbook Author

By Paul A. Samuelson

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Spring 1997

At war's end, introductory economics textbooks were overdue for a revolutionary advance. Change conspired to tempt the author to bring to the beginning course the rudiments of Keynesian macroeconomics. The impact was explosive. In reaction to criticisms o...

Challenges in Merger Simulation Analysis

By Christopher R. Knittel and Konstantinos Metaxoglou

American Economic Review, May 2011

In this paper, we share our experience with merger simulations using a Random Coefficient Logit model on the demand side and assuming a static Bertrand game on the supply side. Drawing largely from our work in Knittel and Metaxoglou (2008), we show that d...

Gaming against Managers in Incentive Systems: Experimental Results with Chinese Students and Chinese Managers

By David J. Cooper, John H. Kagel, Wei Lo, and Qing Liang Gu

American Economic Review, September 1999

We examine strategic interactions between firms and planners in China, comparing behavior between: (i) students and managers with field experience with this situation, (ii) standard versus increased monetary incentives, and (iii) sessions conducted "in co...

Two Improvements on the Clinton Framework

[Symposium: Health Care Reform]

By Peter A. Diamond

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Summer 1994

Under the Clinton proposal, states choose a single payer or large regional alliances, where individuals choose from all plans in the market. This should give the high administrative costs of individual choice, not those of group choice. States should have...

An Interview with Paul Volcker

[Symposium: The First 100 Years of the Federal Reserve]

By Martin Feldstein

Journal of Economic Perspectives, Fall 2013

Martin Feldstein interviewed Paul Volcker in Cambridge, Massachusetts, on July 10, 2013, as part of a conference at the National Bureau of Economic Research on "The First 100 Years of the Federal Reserve: The Policy Record, Lessons Learned, and Prospect...